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| Regional VIEW Newsletter |
| October 2006 [pdf version] |
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| New 2040 Forecasts Look to the Future | |
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This month the Puget Sound Regional Council is publishing new forecasts of population, households, and employment for the years 2010, 2020, 2030, and 2040. The forecasts provide a glimpse of where people will likely be living and working in the future - a key to making decisions about transportation and other services needed to keep our region thriving.
The forecasts are used by PSRC in its travel demand model, which predicts the number of trips between different parts of the region and whether people will travel by car, foot, bike, or transit. As one of the only sources of sub-county forecasts of population and employment in the region, the forecasts are essential to other planning studies by PSRC, local governments and others. The forecasts show where the region is headed based on the best available data, including historical demographic and economic changes from 1958 through 2005. A land use model is used to distribute jobs and people into smaller areas called Forecast Analysis Zones (FAZs), which are groups of census tracts. In this process, PSRC uses the most current information available from cities and counties about their projected housing and employment growth. The forecasts are extensively reviewed by local jurisdictions to ensure the numbers are reasonable. The new forecasts are available online at psrc.org or by calling the Information Center at 206-464-7532,infoctr@psrc.org. For information about the forecasts, please contact Mark Simonson at 206-587-5676, msimonson@psrc.org. |
Growing Together While continued growth places pressures on our roads, housing, and other resources, growth also provides a catalyst to renovate and build new town centers, parks, transportation hubs, and other services to create even better communities. Below are just a few of the recent successes around the region.
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Public Works Program Competition
The Economic Development District (EDD) is currently accepting applications to compete for federal Economic Development Administration (EDA) public works funding. The application deadline is October 20, 2006. The EDD Board will select the top projects at their November 8 meeting.
Each year projects are submitted to the EDD for review and the top tier of projects are then submitted to the EDA. Several projects have been selected for funding in the past, including the City of Renton South Lake Washington Infrastructure and the Port of Bremerton Marine Transportation Center and Marina Expansion, both of which were top rated projects by the EDD.
The goal of the Public Works Program is to support long-term economic development through investments in public infrastructure and facilities necessary to generate private investments that provide higher-skill, higher-wage jobs.
Applications and more information are available online at psrc.org or contact Eric Schinfeld, eschinfeld@psrc.org, 206-587-5063.
Port of Bremerton Marine Transportation Center and Marina Expansion
2007 VISION 2020 Awards
The Awards recognize inspiring projects, plans, and programs that increase the vitality of the central Puget Sound region. Nominations will be accepted until December 20, 2006. The awards will be presented at the PSRC's General Assembly in spring 2007. Tacoma Deputy Mayor Mike Lonergan will chair the selection committee. Award nomination materials are available online at psrc.org/projects/awards, or contact Michele Leslie at 206-587-4819, mleslie@psrc.org.
Save the Date! Annual Prosperity Partnership Fall Luncheon
Join Prosperity Partnership co-chairs and hundreds of regional business, labor, government and non-profit leaders at the annual Prosperity Partnership Fall Luncheon, Wednesday, November 1, 2006 from 11:30 am to 1:30 pm, at the Westin Hotel in downtown Seattle. The event promises to be another fantastic celebration of our progress and an opportunity to discuss next steps.
Register online at prosperitypartnership.org or call Eric Schinfeld, eschinfeld@psrc.org, 206-587-5063.
PUGET SOUND Trends
Rise in Population Growth Linked to Strong Regional Economy
The population of the central Puget Sound region grew to an estimated 3,524,000 by spring 2006, an increase of 63,600 persons or 1.8 percent over the previous year. The increase represents the largest one-year population gain experienced by the region since the early 1990s, exceeding even the levels of growth that occurred during the late 1990s population boom.The rise in population growth is largely due to the robust rebound in the region's economy, which has attracted large numbers of new workers and their families to the central Puget Sound in response to the job opportunities.
Annual Population Change in the Central Puget Sound
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The first table presents a list of 10 cities that experienced the greatest population growth between 2000 and 2006. These 10 cities accounted for over half of the growth that occurred in the region's incorporated area over the last six years.
| Municipality | County | Population 2000 | Population 2006 | Change 2000-06 | Percent Change 2000-06 | Population Annexed 2000-06 |
| Seattle | King | 563,374 * | 578,700 | 15,326 | 2.7% | 0 |
| Everett | Snohomish | 91,488 | 101,100 | 9,612 | 10.5% | 4,700 |
| Issaquah | King | 11,212 | 19,570 | 8,358 | 74.5% | 1,699 |
| Renton | King | 50,052 | 58,360 | 8,308 | 16.6% | 824 |
| Bellevue | King | 109,827 | 117,000 | 7,173 | 6.5% | 2,747 |
| Marysville | Snohomish | 25,315 | 32,150 | 6,835 | 27.0% | 2,762 |
| Snoqualmie | King | 1,631 | 7,815 ** | 6,184 | 379.2% | 0 |
| Kent | King | 79,524 | 85,650 | 6,126 | 7.7% | 882 |
| Tacoma | Pierce | 193,556 | 199,600 | 6,044 | 3.1% | 1 |
| Mill Creek | Snohomish | 11,525 | 17,460 | 5,935 | 51.5% | 3,081 |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Washington State Office of Financial Management
Notes: * Indicates a correction to the federal 1990 census county and/or a revised state estimate.
** Indicates State Certified Special Census due to 2000 undercount.
The list is mostly dominated by the region's traditional population centers, such as Seattle, Tacoma, Bellevue, Everett, Kent and Renton. But it also includes newer emerging population centers such as Marysville, Mill Creek and Issaquah. Annexations accounted for a substantial portion of the growth for many of these cities. (Note: Growth for the city of Snoqualmie is somewhat overstated, due to an undercount of the city's population in the 2000 Census. That being noted, the city has experienced significant population growth during the current decade.)
The second table presents a list of 10 cities and towns with the greatest percentage population growth from 2000 to 2006. The cities and towns on this list have experienced extraordinary rates of growth over the past six years. Municipalities with high percentage growth rates tend to be places with smaller 2000 population bases.
| Top 10 Cities with Greatest Percentage Population Growth, 2000-06 | ||||||
| Municipality | County | Population 2000 | Population 2006 | Change 2000-06 | Percent Change 2000-06 | Population Annexed 2000-06 |
| Snoqualmie | King | 1,631 | 7,815 ** | 6,184 | 379.2% | 0 |
| Roy | Pierce | 260 | 875 | 615 | 236.5% | 503 |
| DuPont | Pierce | 2,452 | 6,610 | 4,158 | 169.6% | 0 |
| Issaquah | King | 11,212 | 19,570 | 8,358 | 74.5% | 1,699 |
| Bonney Lake | Pierce | 9,687 | 15,230 | 5,543 | 57.2% | 1,682 |
| Lake Stevens | Snohomish | 6,361 | 9,650 | 3,289 | 51.7% | 2,459 |
| Mill Creek | Snohomish | 11,525 | 17,460 | 5,935 | 51.5% | 3,081 |
| Orting | Pierce | 3,931 * | 5,560 | 1,629 | 41.4% | 0 |
| Maple Valley | King | 14,209 | 19,140 | 4,931 | 34.7% | 0 |
| Sultan | Snohomish | 3,344 | 4,440 | 1,096 | 32.8% | 0 |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Washington State Office of Financial Management.
Notes: * Indicates a correction to the federal 1990 census count and/or a revised state estimate.
** Indicates State Certified Special Census due to 2000 undercount.
The cities of Snoqualmie, Issaquah and Mill Creek are represented on both "Top 10 Cities" lists in being places that experienced significant levels as well as rates of population growth. The city of Roy more than tripled in size from 2000 to 2006, largely due to completing a major annexation. Annexations, as well as real growth, also contributed significantly to the populations of Issaquah, Bonney Lake, Lake Stevens and Mill Creek. The population of DuPont more than doubled within its existing municipal boundaries since 2000. Growth in Orting, Maple Valley and Sultan is also attributable entirely to real population increases.
The full version of this Trend is available online at psrc.org. A complete table of April 1, 2006 population estimates for all cities, towns, and counties in Washington see the Office of Financial Management website at www.ofm.wa.gov. Questions about this Trend, contact Carol Naito at 206-464-7535, cnaito@psrc.org.